Urawa Red Diamonds vs Fagiano Okayama

13 Sep 2026 · 11:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Urawa Red Diamonds

Fagiano Okayama

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.7% DRAW 27.3% AWAY 34.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.2% 2.55 DRAW 27.6% 3.53 AWAY 34.2% 2.85

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Fagiano Okayama

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Urawa Red Diamonds Fagiano Okayama

Shots 15.0 · On target 5.8 Shots 16.0 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Urawa Red Diamonds Fagiano Okayama

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Urawa Red Diamonds Fagiano Okayama

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Urawa Red Diamonds ↑ +0.09 (+3.8%)

Fagiano Okayama ↑ +0.03 (+0.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.