Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale

12 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Mito Hollyhock

Kawasaki Frontale

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 26.6% DRAW 25.3% AWAY 48.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 27.8% 3.48 DRAW 25.9% 3.74 AWAY 46.3% 2.09

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Kawasaki Frontale

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Mito Hollyhock Kawasaki Frontale

Shots 10.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 15.3 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Kawasaki Frontale, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Mito Hollyhock Kawasaki Frontale

Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Mito Hollyhock Kawasaki Frontale

The combined recent performance profile favours Kawasaki Frontale.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Mito Hollyhock ↑ +0.23 (+7.1%)

Kawasaki Frontale ↓ -0.05 (-2.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.