JEF Utd Chiba vs Gamba Osaka

06 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

JEF Utd Chiba

Gamba Osaka

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 24.7% DRAW 26.6% AWAY 48.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 25.3% 3.90 DRAW 26.9% 3.67 AWAY 47.8% 2.06

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Gamba Osaka

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

JEF Utd Chiba Gamba Osaka

Shots 10.5 · On target 2.8 Shots 13.5 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Gamba Osaka, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

JEF Utd Chiba Gamba Osaka

Shots allowed 18.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 7.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

JEF Utd Chiba Gamba Osaka

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

JEF Utd Chiba ↑ +0.75 (+23.6%)

Gamba Osaka ↓ -0.16 (-7.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.