Kashima Antlers vs Urawa Red Diamonds

06 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Kashima Antlers

Urawa Red Diamonds

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 55.3% DRAW 23.4% AWAY 21.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.2% 1.83 DRAW 24.4% 3.99 AWAY 22.4% 4.33

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Urawa Red Diamonds

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Kashima Antlers Urawa Red Diamonds

Shots 15.8 · On target 5.0 Shots 16.5 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Kashima Antlers Urawa Red Diamonds

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 5.8

Kashima Antlers has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Kashima Antlers Urawa Red Diamonds

The combined recent performance profile favours Kashima Antlers.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Kashima Antlers ↑ +0.06 (+3.6%)

Urawa Red Diamonds ↓ -0.05 (-1.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.