LePa vs GrIFK Reservi

09 Sep 2026 · 19:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

LePa

GrIFK Reservi

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.3% DRAW 19.0% AWAY 28.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.5% 1.76 DRAW 20.1% 4.60 AWAY 27.3% 3.39

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: GrIFK Reservi

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

LePa GrIFK Reservi

Shots 6.0 · On target 4.5 Shots 10.8 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output favours GrIFK Reservi, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

LePa GrIFK Reservi

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 7.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

LePa GrIFK Reservi

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

LePa ↑ +0.26 (+17.5%)

GrIFK Reservi ↓ -0.81 (-19.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.