St Gallen vs FC Sion

12 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.2 pp

St Gallen

FC Sion

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.8% DRAW 23.5% AWAY 28.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.6% 2.20 DRAW 24.5% 4.00 AWAY 30.9% 3.18

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for St Gallen relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 47.8% win probability, compared with 44.6% implied by the market. The 3.2 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

St Gallen has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

St Gallen FC Sion

Shots 18.5 · On target 6.3 Shots 14.8 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

St Gallen FC Sion

Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 6.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

St Gallen FC Sion

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

St Gallen ↑ +0.08 (+3.8%)

FC Sion ↓ -0.12 (-3.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.