Basel vs FC Sion

03 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Basel

FC Sion

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.5% DRAW 24.3% AWAY 41.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.8% 2.90 DRAW 25.0% 3.93 AWAY 41.2% 2.38

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FC Sion

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Basel FC Sion

Shots 9.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 14.5 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours FC Sion, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Basel FC Sion

Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 7.3

Basel has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Basel FC Sion

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Basel ↑ +0.31 (+11.8%)

FC Sion ↓ -0.13 (-5.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.