Goianesia vs Gremio Anapolis

13 Sep 2026 · 22:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Goianesia

Gremio Anapolis

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 67.6% DRAW 20.5% AWAY 11.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 67.2% 1.40 DRAW 20.9% 4.50 AWAY 11.8% 7.95

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Goianesia Gremio Anapolis

Shots 13.3 · On target 4.0 Shots 12.5 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Goianesia Gremio Anapolis

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Goianesia Gremio Anapolis

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Goianesia ↓ -0.02 (-1.4%)

Gremio Anapolis ↑ +1.61 (+25.4%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.