Bom Jesus vs Sao Luis GO

06 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.1 pp

Bom Jesus

Sao Luis GO

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 65.7% DRAW 21.8% AWAY 12.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 65.6% 1.43 DRAW 22.1% 4.25 AWAY 12.3% 7.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Bom Jesus

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Bom Jesus Sao Luis GO

Shots 12.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 3.5 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours Bom Jesus, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Bom Jesus Sao Luis GO

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 1.3

Sao Luis GO has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Bom Jesus Sao Luis GO

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Bom Jesus ↑ +0.07 (+4.9%)

Sao Luis GO ↓ -1.00 (-11.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.