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Switzerland Challenge League · CH

Wil 1900 vs FC Rapperswil-Jona

23 Oct 2026 · 19:30
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a moderate model-market difference for a home win for Wil 1900. The model and market assessments show a noticeable divergence.

Recent Performance

The home side have experienced mixed results recently. Across the matches with available shooting data, their shooting balance has been moderately positive.

The visitors have experienced mixed results recently. Across the matches with available shooting data, they have faced considerably more attempts than they have produced.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

The available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 2.14 exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.09. This suggests a potential pricing advantage for a home win for Wil 1900, although the difference alone is not enough to establish a reliable betting opportunity. The assessment applies only before kick-off.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Wil 1900
STOCHASTICBET 47.8%
PINNACLE 44.5% odd 2.14
DIFFERENCE +3.3 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 26.5%
PINNACLE 27.0% odd 3.53
DIFFERENCE -0.4 pp
AWAY
FC Rapperswil-Jona
STOCHASTICBET 25.7%
PINNACLE 28.6% odd 3.33
DIFFERENCE -2.8 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 23 Oct 2026 · 19:01
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Wil 1900 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Wil 1900 FC Rapperswil-Jona
Shots 14.3 · On target 4.0 Shots 9.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Wil 1900, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Wil 1900 FC Rapperswil-Jona
Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 17.5 · On target allowed 5.8

Wil 1900 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Wil 1900 FC Rapperswil-Jona

The combined recent performance profile favours Wil 1900.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Switzerland Challenge League · 70 matches with scores · 70 with shots · coverage 100.0%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Wil 19006 matches · 2 home / 4 away
WDWLDD
Shot data available for 5/6 matches
FC Rapperswil-Jona6 matches · 4 home / 2 away
LLWWLD
Shot data available for 5/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Wil 1900Home team
+1.515.4 actual
FC Rapperswil-JonaAway team
−2.212.0 actual
Wil 1900: 15.4 · league average 13.9 · 5 valid matchesFC Rapperswil-Jona: 12.0 · league average 14.2 · 5 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Wil 1900Home team
−0.214.0 actual
FC Rapperswil-JonaAway team
+3.517.4 actual
Wil 1900: 14.0 · league average 14.2 · 5 valid matchesFC Rapperswil-Jona: 17.4 · league average 13.9 · 5 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Wil 1900Home team
−0.04.6 actual
FC Rapperswil-JonaAway team
+1.36.0 actual
Wil 1900: 4.6 · league average 4.6 · 5 valid matchesFC Rapperswil-Jona: 6.0 · league average 4.7 · 5 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Wil 1900Home team
−0.34.4 actual
FC Rapperswil-JonaAway team
+0.85.4 actual
Wil 1900: 4.4 · league average 4.7 · 5 valid matchesFC Rapperswil-Jona: 5.4 · league average 4.6 · 5 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Wil 1900Home team
+0.091.67 actual
FC Rapperswil-JonaAway team
−0.381.33 actual
Wil 1900: 1.67 · league average 1.58 · 6 valid matchesFC Rapperswil-Jona: 1.33 · league average 1.71 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Wil 1900Home team
+0.1 pp11.7% actual
FC Rapperswil-JonaAway team
+1.5 pp13.3% actual
Wil 1900: 11.7% · league average 11.6% · 5 valid matchesFC Rapperswil-Jona: 13.3% · league average 11.8% · 5 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Wil 1900Home team
−0.4 pp11.4% actual
FC Rapperswil-JonaAway team
−3.5 pp8.1% actual
Wil 1900: 11.4% · league average 11.8% · 5 valid matchesFC Rapperswil-Jona: 8.1% · league average 11.6% · 5 valid matches

Individual match details

Wil 1900 · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
17/10/2026Away1–0——
09/10/2026Away1–111 / 52 / 1
18/09/2026Home5–017 / 179 / 4
11/09/2026Away0–48 / 101 / 4
04/09/2026Away1–121 / 194 / 5
31/08/2026Home2–220 / 197 / 8
FC Rapperswil-Jona · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
16/10/2026Home0–2——
09/10/2026Home0–37 / 152 / 5
18/09/2026Away3–010 / 225 / 3
11/09/2026Home2–014 / 166 / 5
04/09/2026Away2–313 / 246 / 9
01/09/2026Home1–116 / 1011 / 5

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.