Minebea Mitsumi vs Okinawa SV

05 Sep 2026 · 08:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Minebea Mitsumi

Okinawa SV

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 23.7% DRAW 26.0% AWAY 50.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 25.1% 3.70 DRAW 26.5% 3.50 AWAY 48.4% 1.92

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Okinawa SV

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Minebea Mitsumi Okinawa SV

Shots 9.3 · On target 3.0 Shots 16.3 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Okinawa SV, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Minebea Mitsumi Okinawa SV

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Minebea Mitsumi Okinawa SV

The combined recent performance profile favours Okinawa SV.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Minebea Mitsumi ↑ +0.29 (+8.5%)

Okinawa SV ↑ +0.02 (+1.1%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.