FC Tiamo Hirakata vs Maruyasu Okazaki

05 Sep 2026 · 07:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

FC Tiamo Hirakata

Maruyasu Okazaki

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.2% DRAW 27.6% AWAY 33.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.0% 2.23 DRAW 27.7% 3.30 AWAY 31.3% 2.92

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FC Tiamo Hirakata

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Tiamo Hirakata Maruyasu Okazaki

Shots 13.5 · On target 6.0 Shots 11.3 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Tiamo Hirakata Maruyasu Okazaki

Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 7.3 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.3

Maruyasu Okazaki has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Tiamo Hirakata Maruyasu Okazaki

The combined recent performance profile favours Maruyasu Okazaki.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FC Tiamo Hirakata ↓ -0.06 (-2.6%)

Maruyasu Okazaki ↑ +0.14 (+5.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.