Verspah Oita vs Grulla Morioka FC

05 Sep 2026 · 08:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Verspah Oita

Grulla Morioka FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.5% DRAW 25.5% AWAY 27.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.8% 1.98 DRAW 25.9% 3.66 AWAY 26.3% 3.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Grulla Morioka FC

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Verspah Oita Grulla Morioka FC

Shots 8.0 · On target 2.8 Shots 7.0 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Verspah Oita Grulla Morioka FC

Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Verspah Oita Grulla Morioka FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Verspah Oita ↑ +0.02 (+1.0%)

Grulla Morioka FC ↑ +0.51 (+16.5%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.