Inverness CT vs Morton

25 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Inverness CT

Morton

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 72.5% DRAW 17.9% AWAY 9.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 70.8% 1.35 DRAW 19.0% 5.04 AWAY 10.3% 9.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Inverness CT

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Inverness CT Morton

Shots 6.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 6.8 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Inverness CT Morton

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Inverness CT has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Inverness CT Morton

The combined recent performance profile favours Inverness CT.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Inverness CT ↓ -0.13 (-8.8%)

Morton ↑ +2.43 (+35.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.