Dunfermline vs Partick

25 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Dunfermline

Partick

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.2% DRAW 27.8% AWAY 34.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.9% 2.55 DRAW 28.0% 3.36 AWAY 35.0% 2.69

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Dunfermline has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Dunfermline Partick

Shots 12.8 · On target 4.5 Shots 11.8 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Dunfermline Partick

Shots allowed 3.3 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 3.5 · On target allowed 1.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Dunfermline Partick

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Dunfermline ↓ -0.20 (-7.3%)

Partick ↑ +0.19 (+7.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.