Arbroath vs Queen's Park

25 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Arbroath

Queen's Park

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.4% DRAW 28.3% AWAY 21.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.5% 1.85 DRAW 28.0% 3.40 AWAY 20.5% 4.65

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Queen's Park

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Arbroath Queen's Park

Shots 3.0 · On target 1.0 Shots 6.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Queen's Park, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Arbroath Queen's Park

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 6.0

Arbroath has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Arbroath Queen's Park

The combined recent performance profile favours Queen's Park.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Arbroath ↑ +0.01 (+0.4%)

Queen's Park ↑ +0.14 (+3.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.