Raith vs Livingston

25 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Raith

Livingston

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.6% DRAW 28.8% AWAY 36.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.4% 2.81 DRAW 28.9% 3.35 AWAY 36.8% 2.63

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Raith Livingston

Shots 7.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 10.5 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Raith Livingston

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Raith Livingston

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Raith ↑ +0.26 (+10.2%)

Livingston ↓ -0.24 (-8.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.