Scotland Premiership · GB

Hearts vs Falkirk

08 Nov 2026 · 16:00

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a home win for Hearts. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.63 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.64. At this price, a home win for Hearts does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE

HOME MODEL > MARKET

Hearts

STOCHASTICBET 61.0%

PINNACLE 59.2% odd 1.63

DIFFERENCE +1.8 pp

DRAW

Draw

STOCHASTICBET 22.1%

PINNACLE 22.6% odd 4.27

DIFFERENCE -0.5 pp

AWAY

Falkirk

STOCHASTICBET 16.8%

PINNACLE 18.1% odd 5.33

DIFFERENCE -1.3 pp

STOCHASTICBET

PINNACLE MARKET

Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 15:41

PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Hearts

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hearts Falkirk

Shots 13.8 · On target 4.5 Shots 7.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Hearts, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hearts Falkirk

Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 4.0

Falkirk has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hearts Falkirk

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.