St Mirren vs Celtic

05 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

St Mirren

Celtic

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 14.3% DRAW 17.9% AWAY 67.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 13.6% 7.19 DRAW 18.3% 5.34 AWAY 68.0% 1.44

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Celtic

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

St Mirren Celtic

Shots 14.0 · On target 4.0 Shots 17.8 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours Celtic, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

St Mirren Celtic

Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 18.8 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

St Mirren Celtic

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

St Mirren ↓ -1.31 (-15.4%)

Celtic ↑ +0.05 (+3.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.