Genk vs Gent

13 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Genk

Gent

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.8% DRAW 29.1% AWAY 29.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.0% 2.26 DRAW 29.0% 3.35 AWAY 28.1% 3.46

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Gent

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Genk Gent

Shots 12.8 · On target 5.0 Shots 12.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Genk Gent

Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 2.8

Gent has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Genk Gent

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Genk ↑ +0.20 (+9.7%)

Gent ↓ -0.35 (-9.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.