Shurtan vs PFC Terdu

11 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.1 pp

Shurtan

PFC Terdu

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 82.9% DRAW 10.5% AWAY 6.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 79.8% 1.17 DRAW 12.4% 7.50 AWAY 7.8% 12.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Shurtan relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 82.9% win probability, compared with 79.8% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Shurtan

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Shurtan PFC Terdu

Shots 8.8 · On target 2.5 Shots 8.0 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Shurtan PFC Terdu

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 18.8 · On target allowed 7.3

Shurtan has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Shurtan PFC Terdu

The combined recent performance profile favours Shurtan.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Shurtan = (0.0%)

PFC Terdu = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.