Gazalkent vs FC Yaypan Fergana

11 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.7 pp

Gazalkent

FC Yaypan Fergana

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.6% DRAW 26.2% AWAY 28.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.5% 1.84 DRAW 26.0% 3.50 AWAY 24.5% 3.73

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for FC Yaypan Fergana relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 28.1% win probability, compared with 24.5% implied by the market. The 3.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FC Yaypan Fergana has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Gazalkent FC Yaypan Fergana

Shots 11.0 · On target 4.5 Shots 14.0 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Gazalkent FC Yaypan Fergana

Shots allowed 19.0 · On target allowed 7.3 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.3

FC Yaypan Fergana has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Gazalkent FC Yaypan Fergana

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Yaypan Fergana.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Gazalkent ↑ +0.22 (+13.5%)

FC Yaypan Fergana ↓ -0.56 (-12.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.