FK Siauliai II vs FK BE1

14 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.5 pp

FK Siauliai II

FK BE1

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 17.1% DRAW 22.4% AWAY 60.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 18.7% 5.01 DRAW 23.4% 4.00 AWAY 57.9% 1.62

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for FK BE1 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 60.5% win probability, compared with 57.9% implied by the market. The 2.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FK BE1 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Siauliai II FK BE1

Shots 7.5 · On target 2.3 Shots 12.8 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours FK BE1, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Siauliai II FK BE1

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.5

FK BE1 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Siauliai II FK BE1

The combined recent performance profile favours FK BE1.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FK Siauliai II ↓ -0.10 (-2.0%)

FK BE1 ↑ +0.11 (+7.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.