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Lithuania 1 Lyga · LT

FK Transinvest II vs FC Hegelmann II

11 Sep 2026 · 17:00
NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp
FK Transinvest II
FC Hegelmann II
HOME 53.1% DRAW 22.8% AWAY 24.1%
HOME 53.8% 1.82 DRAW 23.3% 4.20 AWAY 22.9% 4.27

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FC Hegelmann II

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
FK Transinvest II FC Hegelmann II
Shots 7.3 · On target 3.0 Shots 13.8 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours FC Hegelmann II, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
FK Transinvest II FC Hegelmann II
Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 16.5 · On target allowed 5.5

FK Transinvest II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
FK Transinvest II FC Hegelmann II

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Hegelmann II.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

FK Transinvest II ↓ -0.38 (-17.3%)
FC Hegelmann II ↑ +1.53 (+55.9%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.