FK Babrungas vs FK Atmosfera

11 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.9 pp

FK Babrungas

FK Atmosfera

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.6% DRAW 23.2% AWAY 20.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.7% 1.75 DRAW 24.3% 3.86 AWAY 22.0% 4.27

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for FK Babrungas relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 56.6% win probability, compared with 53.7% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FK Babrungas has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Babrungas FK Atmosfera

Shots 11.0 · On target 4.3 Shots 9.5 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours FK Babrungas, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Babrungas FK Atmosfera

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 4.0

FK Babrungas has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Babrungas FK Atmosfera

The combined recent performance profile favours FK Babrungas.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FK Babrungas ↑ +0.05 (+2.9%)

FK Atmosfera ↓ -0.18 (-3.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.