FK Zalgiris Vilnius II vs FK Neptunas Klaipeda

07 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II

FK Neptunas Klaipeda

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.9% DRAW 26.5% AWAY 39.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.5% 3.05 DRAW 26.7% 3.60 AWAY 41.8% 2.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II FK Neptunas Klaipeda

Shots 10.0 · On target 4.3 Shots 8.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II FK Neptunas Klaipeda

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II FK Neptunas Klaipeda

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

FK Zalgiris Vilnius II ↓ -0.04 (-1.3%)

FK Neptunas Klaipeda ↑ +0.26 (+12.7%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.