FK Minija vs FK Transinvest II

05 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.8 pp

FK Minija

FK Transinvest II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 88.4% DRAW 7.6% AWAY 4.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 85.6% 1.11 DRAW 9.4% 10.07 AWAY 5.0% 19.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for FK Minija relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 88.4% win probability, compared with 85.6% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FK Minija has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Minija FK Transinvest II

Shots 14.5 · On target 7.0 Shots 7.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours FK Minija, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Minija FK Transinvest II

Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.8

FK Minija has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Minija FK Transinvest II

The combined recent performance profile favours FK Minija.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

FK Minija ↓ -0.02 (-1.7%)

FK Transinvest II ↑ +4.00 (+26.7%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.