FC Hegelmann II vs FK Siauliai II

04 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

FC Hegelmann II

FK Siauliai II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.2% DRAW 24.4% AWAY 33.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.2% 2.25 DRAW 25.1% 3.70 AWAY 33.7% 2.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FC Hegelmann II

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Hegelmann II FK Siauliai II

Shots 12.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 6.0 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours FC Hegelmann II, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Hegelmann II FK Siauliai II

Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.0

FK Siauliai II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Hegelmann II FK Siauliai II

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FC Hegelmann II ↑ +0.11 (+5.1%)

FK Siauliai II ↓ -0.08 (-2.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.