FK BE1 vs FK Kauno Zalgiris II

04 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

FK BE1

FK Kauno Zalgiris II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 69.3% DRAW 18.9% AWAY 11.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 69.4% 1.36 DRAW 19.3% 4.89 AWAY 11.3% 8.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK BE1 FK Kauno Zalgiris II

Shots 11.0 · On target 4.5 Shots 10.8 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK BE1 FK Kauno Zalgiris II

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK BE1 FK Kauno Zalgiris II

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

FK BE1 ↓ -0.03 (-2.2%)

FK Kauno Zalgiris II ↑ +1.80 (+27.5%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.