Fulham vs Man Utd

20 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Fulham

Man Utd

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 27.5% DRAW 24.8% AWAY 47.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 26.8% 3.70 DRAW 25.2% 3.94 AWAY 48.1% 2.06

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Man Utd

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Fulham Man Utd

Shots 13.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 15.5 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Fulham Man Utd

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Fulham Man Utd

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Fulham ↑ +0.18 (+5.1%)

Man Utd ↑ +0.02 (+1.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.