England Premier League · GB

Aston Villa vs Arsenal

31 Aug 2026 · 21:00

MARKET CONSENSUS

Strong Away Lean

Home 15.5%

Draw 21.6%

Away 62.8%

Consensus based on 4 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 41.2 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Aston Villa Arsenal

Shots 8.5 · On target 2.0 Shots 15.0 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Arsenal, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Aston Villa Arsenal

Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.3

Arsenal has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Aston Villa Arsenal

The combined recent performance profile favours Arsenal.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Aston Villa ↓ -0.60 (-8.6%)

Arsenal ↓ -0.03 (-2.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Performance4 0.242

Shot rating -59

Shots-on-target rating -27

Qualified model signal None

INTERPRETATION

Market consensus and recent performance point toward the away side, but the StochasticBet model has not generated a qualified signal.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.