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Poland I Liga · PL

MKP Pogon Siedlce vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

08 Nov 2026 · 17:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a home win for MKP Pogon Siedlce. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

The available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 2.22 exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.20. This suggests a potential pricing advantage for a home win for MKP Pogon Siedlce, although the difference alone is not enough to establish a reliable betting opportunity. The assessment applies only before kick-off.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME MODEL > MARKET
MKP Pogon Siedlce
STOCHASTICBET 45.5%
PINNACLE 43.1% odd 2.22
DIFFERENCE +2.4 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 26.8%
PINNACLE 27.0% odd 3.54
DIFFERENCE -0.3 pp
AWAY
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
STOCHASTICBET 27.7%
PINNACLE 29.8% odd 3.21
DIFFERENCE -2.1 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 05:21
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Defensive Edge: MKP Pogon Siedlce

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
MKP Pogon Siedlce Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Shots 8.0 · On target 2.8 Shots 5.8 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
MKP Pogon Siedlce Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 16.3 · On target allowed 5.3

MKP Pogon Siedlce has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
MKP Pogon Siedlce Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.