Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala vs Unia Skierniewice

20 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.8 pp

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala

Unia Skierniewice

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.7% DRAW 25.3% AWAY 32.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.1% 2.11 DRAW 25.6% 3.72 AWAY 29.3% 3.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Unia Skierniewice relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 32.0% win probability, compared with 29.3% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Unia Skierniewice has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Unia Skierniewice

Shots 6.8 · On target 2.8 Shots 11.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Unia Skierniewice, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Unia Skierniewice

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.3

Unia Skierniewice has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Unia Skierniewice

The combined recent performance profile favours Unia Skierniewice.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala ↑ +0.04 (+1.9%)

Unia Skierniewice ↑ +0.04 (+1.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.