Unia Skierniewice vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

13 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Unia Skierniewice

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.8% DRAW 25.2% AWAY 35.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.1% 2.38 DRAW 25.7% 3.71 AWAY 34.1% 2.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Unia Skierniewice Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Shots 11.3 · On target 2.3 Shots 11.5 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Unia Skierniewice Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Unia Skierniewice Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

The combined recent performance profile favours Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Unia Skierniewice ↑ +0.33 (+16.1%)

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki ↓ -0.40 (-12.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.