Stal Mielec vs Termalica BB Nieciecza

14 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Stal Mielec

Termalica BB Nieciecza

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.2% DRAW 24.8% AWAY 37.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.9% 2.45 DRAW 25.5% 3.74 AWAY 35.7% 2.67

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Termalica BB Nieciecza

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Stal Mielec Termalica BB Nieciecza

Shots 10.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 15.0 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Termalica BB Nieciecza, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Stal Mielec Termalica BB Nieciecza

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Stal Mielec Termalica BB Nieciecza

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Stal Mielec ↑ +0.05 (+2.1%)

Termalica BB Nieciecza ↑ +0.05 (+1.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.