Polonia Bytom vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala

06 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.8 pp

Polonia Bytom

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.0% DRAW 25.9% AWAY 28.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.2% 2.23 DRAW 26.6% 3.63 AWAY 30.2% 3.19

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Polonia Bytom relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 46.0% win probability, compared with 43.2% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Polonia Bytom

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Polonia Bytom Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala

Shots 16.5 · On target 6.5 Shots 8.5 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Polonia Bytom, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Polonia Bytom Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.3

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Polonia Bytom Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Polonia Bytom ↓ -0.16 (-6.7%)

Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala ↑ +0.44 (+16.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.