Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Petah Tikva

15 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Beitar Jerusalem

Maccabi Petah Tikva

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 62.6% DRAW 20.4% AWAY 17.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 62.5% 1.52 DRAW 21.0% 4.52 AWAY 16.5% 5.74

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Beitar Jerusalem

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Beitar Jerusalem Maccabi Petah Tikva

Shots 11.3 · On target 5.3 Shots 9.5 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Beitar Jerusalem Maccabi Petah Tikva

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.5

Maccabi Petah Tikva has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Beitar Jerusalem Maccabi Petah Tikva

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Beitar Jerusalem ↓ -0.11 (-6.7%)

Maccabi Petah Tikva ↑ +1.14 (+24.8%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.