Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Jerusalem FC

15 Sep 2026 · 18:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Ironi Tiberias

Hapoel Jerusalem FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.3% DRAW 29.7% AWAY 40.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.1% 2.97 DRAW 29.7% 3.21 AWAY 38.2% 2.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Hapoel Jerusalem FC

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ironi Tiberias Hapoel Jerusalem FC

Shots 8.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 14.5 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours Hapoel Jerusalem FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ironi Tiberias Hapoel Jerusalem FC

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ironi Tiberias Hapoel Jerusalem FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Hapoel Jerusalem FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Ironi Tiberias ↑ +0.09 (+3.1%)

Hapoel Jerusalem FC ↑ +0.04 (+1.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.