Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Beer Sheva

13 Sep 2026 · 19:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Hapoel Petah Tikva

Hapoel Beer Sheva

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 19.1% DRAW 21.6% AWAY 59.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 17.0% 5.56 DRAW 21.5% 4.41 AWAY 61.5% 1.54

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Hapoel Beer Sheva

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Beer Sheva

Shots 7.0 · On target 2.3 Shots 12.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Hapoel Beer Sheva, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Beer Sheva

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 16.5 · On target allowed 7.5

Hapoel Petah Tikva has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Beer Sheva

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Hapoel Petah Tikva ↓ -0.89 (-13.8%)

Hapoel Beer Sheva ↑ +0.07 (+4.8%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.