Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin

14 Sep 2026 · 18:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.5 pp

Hapoel Haifa

Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 53.1% DRAW 25.6% AWAY 21.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.6% 1.88 DRAW 26.4% 3.60 AWAY 23.0% 4.12

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Hapoel Haifa relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 53.1% win probability, compared with 50.6% implied by the market. The 2.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Hapoel Haifa has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hapoel Haifa Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin

Shots 10.5 · On target 4.5 Shots 7.5 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Hapoel Haifa, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hapoel Haifa Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hapoel Haifa Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin

The combined recent performance profile favours Hapoel Haifa.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Hapoel Haifa ↓ -0.10 (-5.2%)

Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin ↑ +0.34 (+9.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.