Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa vs Hapoel Raanana

10 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.7 pp

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa

Hapoel Raanana

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 32.4% DRAW 25.7% AWAY 41.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.5% 2.60 DRAW 26.4% 3.50 AWAY 38.1% 2.42

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Hapoel Raanana relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 41.8% win probability, compared with 38.1% implied by the market. The 3.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Hapoel Raanana has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Hapoel Raanana

Shots 13.0 · On target 6.0 Shots 16.0 · On target 8.5

Recent attacking output favours Hapoel Raanana, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Hapoel Raanana

Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 8.0 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.3

Hapoel Raanana has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Hapoel Raanana

The combined recent performance profile favours Hapoel Raanana.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa ↑ +0.20 (+8.3%)

Hapoel Raanana ↑ +0.07 (+3.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.