Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat

10 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Hapoel Kfar Saba

Maccabi Kiryat Gat

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.5% DRAW 26.1% AWAY 33.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.0% 2.20 DRAW 26.4% 3.50 AWAY 31.5% 2.93

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Maccabi Kiryat Gat has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hapoel Kfar Saba Maccabi Kiryat Gat

Shots 13.8 · On target 5.3 Shots 16.3 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hapoel Kfar Saba Maccabi Kiryat Gat

Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.0

Maccabi Kiryat Gat has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hapoel Kfar Saba Maccabi Kiryat Gat

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Hapoel Kfar Saba ↓ -0.15 (-6.4%)

Maccabi Kiryat Gat ↑ +0.53 (+22.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.