Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Herzliya

07 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.9 pp

Maccabi Kiryat Gat

Maccabi Herzliya

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.0% DRAW 28.4% AWAY 33.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.1% 2.64 DRAW 28.5% 3.25 AWAY 36.4% 2.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Maccabi Kiryat Gat relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 38.0% win probability, compared with 35.1% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Maccabi Kiryat Gat has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Maccabi Kiryat Gat Maccabi Herzliya

Shots 15.5 · On target 6.0 Shots 12.0 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Maccabi Kiryat Gat, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Maccabi Kiryat Gat Maccabi Herzliya

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Maccabi Kiryat Gat Maccabi Herzliya

The combined recent performance profile favours Maccabi Kiryat Gat.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Maccabi Kiryat Gat ↑ +0.14 (+5.6%)

Maccabi Herzliya ↑ +0.05 (+2.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.