Ironi Modiin vs MS Ashdod

24 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE AWAY +6.1 pp

Ironi Modiin

MS Ashdod

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 16.2% DRAW 22.7% AWAY 61.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 20.5% 4.46 DRAW 24.6% 3.71 AWAY 55.0% 1.66

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates MS Ashdod substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 61.1% win probability, compared with 55.0% implied by the market. The 6.1 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

MS Ashdod has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ironi Modiin MS Ashdod

Shots 10.3 · On target 5.5 Shots 14.3 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output favours MS Ashdod, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ironi Modiin MS Ashdod

Shots allowed 16.8 · On target allowed 8.5 Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 1.8

MS Ashdod has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ironi Modiin MS Ashdod

The combined recent performance profile favours MS Ashdod.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Ironi Modiin ↓ -0.04 (-0.9%)

MS Ashdod ↑ +0.11 (+7.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.