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Slovenia Prva Liga · SI

NK Radomlje vs NK Celje

08 Nov 2026 · 17:30
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for an away win for NK Celje. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 1.50 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 1.51. At this price, an away win for NK Celje does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME
NK Radomlje
STOCHASTICBET 14.7%
PINNACLE 16.6% odd 5.74
DIFFERENCE -1.9 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 19.1%
PINNACLE 20.0% odd 4.77
DIFFERENCE -0.9 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
NK Celje
STOCHASTICBET 66.2%
PINNACLE 63.5% odd 1.50
DIFFERENCE +2.8 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 15:11
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: NK Celje

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
NK Radomlje NK Celje
Shots 7.3 · On target 4.0 Shots 17.3 · On target 7.8

Recent attacking output favours NK Celje, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
NK Radomlje NK Celje
Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 2.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
NK Radomlje NK Celje

The combined recent performance profile favours NK Celje.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-11-08 16:33:01

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME -0.39 pp +0.00 pp
DRAW -0.35 pp +0.00 pp
AWAY +0.73 pp +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME -3.04 pp -1.17 pp
DRAW -1.72 pp -0.91 pp
AWAY +4.76 pp +2.08 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.