Olimpija Ljubljana vs NK Brinje Grosuplje

05 Sep 2026 · 20:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Olimpija Ljubljana

NK Brinje Grosuplje

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.9% DRAW 24.1% AWAY 17.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 57.6% 1.63 DRAW 24.7% 3.80 AWAY 17.7% 5.32

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Olimpija Ljubljana

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Olimpija Ljubljana NK Brinje Grosuplje

Shots 12.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 9.8 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Olimpija Ljubljana NK Brinje Grosuplje

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.8

Olimpija Ljubljana has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Olimpija Ljubljana NK Brinje Grosuplje

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Olimpija Ljubljana ↓ -0.09 (-5.2%)

NK Brinje Grosuplje ↑ +0.32 (+6.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.