NK Celje vs FC Koper

06 Sep 2026 · 20:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

NK Celje

FC Koper

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.3% DRAW 24.3% AWAY 24.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.6% 1.93 DRAW 25.0% 3.83 AWAY 25.3% 3.78

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: NK Celje

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

NK Celje FC Koper

Shots 13.8 · On target 5.0 Shots 11.0 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours NK Celje, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

NK Celje FC Koper

Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

NK Celje FC Koper

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

NK Celje ↓ -0.15 (-7.2%)

FC Koper ↑ +0.83 (+28.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.