NK Triglav Kranj vs NK Bistrica

04 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

NK Triglav Kranj

NK Bistrica

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 57.4% DRAW 22.7% AWAY 19.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 59.1% 1.55 DRAW 22.8% 4.02 AWAY 18.1% 5.06

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: NK Bistrica

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

NK Triglav Kranj NK Bistrica

Shots 9.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 14.0 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours NK Bistrica, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

NK Triglav Kranj NK Bistrica

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.3

NK Triglav Kranj has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

NK Triglav Kranj NK Bistrica

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

NK Triglav Kranj ↓ -0.20 (-11.4%)

NK Bistrica ↑ +1.07 (+26.8%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.