NK Triglav Kranj vs ND Slovan Ljubljana

20 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

NK Triglav Kranj

ND Slovan Ljubljana

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 69.8% DRAW 17.4% AWAY 12.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 70.9% 1.33 DRAW 17.6% 5.35 AWAY 11.4% 8.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

NK Triglav Kranj ND Slovan Ljubljana

Shots 12.0 · On target 6.8 Shots 15.3 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

NK Triglav Kranj ND Slovan Ljubljana

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

NK Triglav Kranj ND Slovan Ljubljana

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

NK Triglav Kranj ↓ -0.01 (-0.7%)

ND Slovan Ljubljana ↑ +1.09 (+15.2%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.