OH Leuven (W) vs Gent (W)

06 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.6 pp

OH Leuven (W)

Gent (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 87.3% DRAW 8.4% AWAY 4.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 84.7% 1.11 DRAW 10.1% 9.31 AWAY 5.2% 18.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for OH Leuven (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 87.3% win probability, compared with 84.7% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

OH Leuven (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

OH Leuven (W) Gent (W)

Shots 13.0 · On target 5.8 Shots 6.3 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours OH Leuven (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

OH Leuven (W) Gent (W)

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 5.5

OH Leuven (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

OH Leuven (W) Gent (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours OH Leuven (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

OH Leuven (W) ↑ +0.03 (+2.9%)

Gent (W) ↑ +2.50 (+16.1%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.